Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.000675 0.000766 0.000864 0.000974 0.001095 0.001224 0.001372
2025-10-12 0.000539 0.000668 0.000814 0.000989 0.001194 0.001423 0.001700
2025-10-19 0.000454 0.000598 0.000768 0.000981 0.001240 0.001540 0.001914
2025-10-26 0.000388 0.000539 0.000726 0.000969 0.001273 0.001637 0.002102
2025-11-02 0.000345 0.000504 0.000706 0.000977 0.001326 0.001755 0.002315
2025-11-09 0.000307 0.000469 0.000682 0.000977 0.001367 0.001856 0.002506
2025-11-16 0.000264 0.000423 0.000639 0.000946 0.001363 0.001897 0.002621
2025-11-23 0.000230 0.000385 0.000603 0.000922 0.001365 0.001943 0.002742
2025-11-30 0.000206 0.000360 0.000584 0.000918 0.001391 0.002021 0.002903
2025-12-07 0.000187 0.000340 0.000568 0.000917 0.001421 0.002103 0.003071
2025-12-14 0.000167 0.000317 0.000547 0.000907 0.001436 0.002163 0.003210
2025-12-21 0.000149 0.000294 0.000523 0.000891 0.001442 0.002211 0.003333
2025-12-28 0.000141 0.000289 0.000527 0.000917 0.001510 0.002347 0.003581
2026-01-04 0.000132 0.000280 0.000525 0.000933 0.001563 0.002464 0.003807
2026-01-11 0.000119 0.000263 0.000508 0.000925 0.001579 0.002528 0.003958
2026-01-18 0.000107 0.000246 0.000490 0.000913 0.001589 0.002582 0.004095
2026-01-25 0.000099 0.000237 0.000484 0.000921 0.001629 0.002680 0.004297
2026-02-01 0.000091 0.000227 0.000475 0.000921 0.001656 0.002760 0.004475
2026-02-08 0.000080 0.000207 0.000448 0.000892 0.001635 0.002766 0.004544
2026-02-15 0.000070 0.000191 0.000426 0.000869 0.001622 0.002785 0.004630
2026-02-22 0.000064 0.000181 0.000416 0.000865 0.001640 0.002850 0.004787
2026-03-01 0.000059 0.000173 0.000407 0.000864 0.001663 0.002922 0.004955
2026-03-08 0.000053 0.000163 0.000394 0.000854 0.001670 0.002969 0.005086